The School of OddsInter Milan v Monza
Head to Head
Option 1: Inter Milan (Local)
Odds
1.0991.74%Min
1.1983.79%Mean
1.1884.75%Median
1.2580.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
72.37%1.382Min
79.82%1.253Max
77.18%1.296Mean
77.17%1.296Median
77.11%1.297IQM
77.39%1.292Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.25 under the IQM model: 77.11%
EV -3.61%Edge -2.89%Kelly -14.43%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Monza (Visit)
Odds
8.0012.50%Min
12.208.19%Mean
12.508.00%Median
14.007.14%Max
Consensus probabilities
6.73%14.864Min
10.49%9.529Max
7.53%13.281Mean
7.42%13.485Median
7.49%13.344IQM
7.48%13.378Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 14.00 under the IQM model: 7.49%
EV +4.92%Edge +0.351%Kelly +0.378%Growth +0.019%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.9020.41%Min
5.8417.12%Mean
5.6017.86%Median
7.0014.29%Max
Consensus probabilities
13.45%7.432Min
17.13%5.837Max
15.29%6.541Mean
15.41%6.488Median
15.39%6.497IQM
15.13%6.608Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.00 under the IQM model: 15.39%
EV +7.74%Edge +1.11%Kelly +1.29%Growth +0.100%
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Inter Milan (Local) | Monza (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 79.82%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV +4.92% E +0.351% K +0.378% G +0.019% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.45%EV +7.74% E +1.11% K +1.29% G +0.100% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 78.63%EV -3.61% E -2.89% K -14.43% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 7.02%EV +4.92% E +0.351% K +0.378% G +0.019% | 6.85I 14.60% NM 14.35%EV +5.43% E +0.793% K +0.928% G +0.050% | 1.7% | 2026-06-27 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33% NM 78.00%EV -7.46% E -6.22% K -37.31% G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40% NM 7.87%EV -10.82% E -0.909% K -0.993% G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11% NM 14.14%EV +1.89% E +0.286% K +0.336% G +0.006% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30% NM 78.28%EV -5.15% E -4.19% K -22.39% G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41% NM 7.13%EV +1.17% E +0.087% K +0.093% G +0.001% | 6.60I 15.15% NM 14.59%EV +1.58% E +0.240% K +0.283% G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.73%EV -4.38% E -3.53% K -18.24% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.93%EV -10.07% E -0.839% K -0.916% G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13% NM 15.35%EV -4.57% E -0.738% K -0.880% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.49%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.75%EV +4.92% E +0.351% K +0.378% G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.76%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 76.72%EV -5.15% E -4.19% K -22.39% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.55%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.09%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -2.58% E -0.198% K -0.215% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.68%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 19:29 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.09%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -2.58% E -0.198% K -0.215% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.68%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-25 22:46 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.79%EV -10.07% E -0.839% K -0.916% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.58%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33% NM 77.38%EV -7.46% E -6.22% K -37.31% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.14%EV -2.58% E -0.198% K -0.215% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.48%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-26 05:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33% NM 77.38%EV -7.46% E -6.22% K -37.31% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.14%EV -2.58% E -0.198% K -0.215% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.48%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.45%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 9.21%EV -25.06% E -2.51% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.34%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75% NM 77.22%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.59%EV -10.07% E -0.839% K -0.916% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.19%EV -7.65% E -1.28% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.59%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52% NM 8.78%EV -21.31% E -2.03% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.63%EV -9.19% E -1.56% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74% NM 78.15%EV -15.94% E -14.63% K -177.17% G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70% NM 7.41%EV -13.82% E -1.20% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 14.44%EV -9.19% E -1.56% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75% NM 76.62%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00% NM 7.23%EV -6.33% E -0.506% K -0.550% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.15%EV -13.81% E -2.47% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-20 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.03%EV -5.92% E -4.85% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.32%EV -17.57% E -1.60% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.64%EV -15.35% E -2.79% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.18I 84.75% NM 75.65%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.12%EV -17.57% E -1.60% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.23%EV -15.35% E -2.79% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 74.31%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26% NM 8.99%EV -26.93% E -2.76% K -3.08% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 16.70%EV -19.20% E -3.66% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 74.35%EV -9.00% E -7.63% K -50.03% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 8.77%EV -25.06% E -2.51% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 16.87%EV -19.97% E -3.84% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47% NM 74.61%EV -9.78% E -8.36% K -57.50% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 7.94%EV -17.57% E -1.60% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.46%EV -23.04% E -4.61% K -5.76% G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21% NM 72.37%EV -10.55% E -9.09% K -65.92% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 10.49%EV -40.05% E -5.01% K -5.72% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 17.13%EV -24.58% E -5.02% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Inter Milan (Local) | Monza (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65% | 17.00I 5.88% | 6.40I 15.63% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65% | 17.00I 5.88% | 6.40I 15.63% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65% | 8.40I 11.90% | 6.40I 15.63% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64% | 11.49I 8.70% | 5.40I 18.52% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |