La scuola delle quote

Inter Milan v Monza

2026-08-22 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Inter Milan (Casa)

Previsione 76.89%1.30quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -2.48%
Kelly -12.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.43%76.83%76.87%79.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.211.211.2687.72%82.55%82.64%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monza (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.79%12.84quota equa
EV +9.00%
Vantaggio +0.643%
Kelly +0.692%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.73%7.88%7.81%9.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5012.0312.5014.0010.53%8.32%8.00%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.33%6.52quota equa
EV +7.28%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.088%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.45%15.29%15.32%17.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.256.026.007.0019.05%16.62%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -9.27%E -7.86%K -51.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.00%E +0.643%K +0.692%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.28%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.088%6.2%2026-07-25 17:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 77.95%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.00%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.33%EV +4.32%E +0.323%K +0.349%G +0.015%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72%EV +2.22%E +0.333%K +0.392%G +0.009%1.8%2026-07-16 00:19
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 77.77%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%11.83I 8.45%NM 7.95%EV -7.90%E -0.668%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.28%EV +0.998%E +0.151%K +0.179%G +0.002%6.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 77.13%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 05:10
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.46%EV -0.737%E -0.058%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.46%EV -0.737%E -0.058%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 00:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 78.88%EV -10.81%E -9.32%K -67.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 19:00
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.66%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -1.15%E -0.178%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 00:19
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +9.00%E +0.643%K +0.692%G +0.062%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 16:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 16:38
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.73%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -4.98%E -0.803%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.95%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 05:59
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 06:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 00:52
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 05:59
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 21:40
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:33
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:48
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 21:39
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.27%E -7.86%K -51.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 05:59
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -8.50%E -7.14%K -44.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-15 18:55
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.37%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.05%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 19:00
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.37%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.05%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.20%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -26.04%E -2.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 21:39
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.91%EV -12.35%E -10.83%K -88.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.97%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 21:39
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.35%EV -8.50%E -7.14%K -44.75%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.34%EV -16.31%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 02:24
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.43%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.43%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.58%K -59.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.75%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 02:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.71%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -19.54%E -3.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 07:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%5.2%2026-07-26 03:05