La escuela de los momios

Inter Milan v Monza

2026-08-22 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Inter Milan (Local)

Predicción 76.89%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -12.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.43%76.83%76.87%79.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.211.2687.72%82.55%82.64%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monza (Visitante)

Predicción 7.79%12.84momio equitativo
EV +9.00%
Ventaja +0.643%
Kelly +0.692%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.73%7.88%7.81%9.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.5012.0312.5014.0010.53%8.32%8.00%7.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.33%6.52momio equitativo
EV +7.28%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.088%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.45%15.29%15.32%17.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.256.026.007.0019.05%16.62%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -9.27%E -7.86%K -51.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.00%E +0.643%K +0.692%G +0.062%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.28%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.088%6.2%2026-07-25 17:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 77.95%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.00%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.33%EV +4.32%E +0.323%K +0.349%G +0.015%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.72%EV +2.22%E +0.333%K +0.392%G +0.009%1.8%2026-07-16 00:19
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 77.77%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%11.83I 8.45%NM 7.95%EV -7.90%E -0.668%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.28%EV +0.998%E +0.151%K +0.179%G +0.002%6.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 77.13%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 05:10
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.46%EV -0.737%E -0.058%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.46%EV -0.737%E -0.058%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:05
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 00:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 78.88%EV -10.81%E -9.32%K -67.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -0.381%E -0.059%K -0.069%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 19:00
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.66%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.93%EV -1.15%E -0.178%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 00:19
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +9.00%E +0.643%K +0.692%G +0.062%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.27%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 16:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 16:38
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -4.21%E -0.674%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.73%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -4.98%E -0.803%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.95%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 05:59
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 06:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 00:52
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 05:59
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 21:40
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:33
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:48
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 21:39
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.27%E -7.86%K -51.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 05:59
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -8.50%E -7.14%K -44.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-15 18:55
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.37%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.05%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 19:00
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.37%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.05%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.20%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -26.04%E -2.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.30%EV -9.58%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 21:39
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -2.68%E -0.215%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.91%EV -12.35%E -10.83%K -88.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.97%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -11.11%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -6.58%E -0.548%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 21:39
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.36%E -1.31%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.35%EV -8.50%E -7.14%K -44.75%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.34%EV -16.31%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.71%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 02:24
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.43%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.43%EV -6.96%E -5.76%K -33.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -18.25%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.58%K -59.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.75%EV -22.15%E -2.21%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.50%EV -18.77%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 02:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.71%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.67%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV +1.21%E +0.093%K +0.101%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -19.54%E -3.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 07:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.84%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%3.1%2026-07-25 09:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.56%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%5.2%2026-07-26 03:05