The School of OddsGenoa v Napoli
Head to Head
Option 1: Genoa (Local)
Odds
4.2023.81%Min
4.9620.17%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.5018.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.18%5.821Min
20.03%4.992Max
18.22%5.488Mean
18.46%5.417Median
18.42%5.427IQM
18.14%5.511Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 18.42%
EV +1.34%Edge +0.243%Kelly +0.297%Growth +0.004%
Option 2: Napoli (Visit)
Odds
1.5365.36%Min
1.6660.36%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7756.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.12%1.883Min
57.11%1.751Max
55.44%1.804Mean
55.22%1.811Median
55.22%1.811IQM
55.55%1.800Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 55.22%
EV -2.27%Edge -1.28%Kelly -2.95%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.4828.74%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.7726.53%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.20%3.969Min
27.76%3.602Max
26.34%3.797Mean
26.32%3.800Median
26.36%3.794IQM
26.30%3.802Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.77 under the IQM model: 26.36%
EV -0.623%Edge -0.165%Kelly -0.225%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Genoa (Local) ▼ | Napoli (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.35%EV +1.34% E +0.243% K +0.297% G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 56.14%EV -6.13% E -3.61% K -8.76% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.51%EV -5.10% E -1.42% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.18%EV +1.34% E +0.243% K +0.297% G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.58%EV -7.79% E -4.67% K -11.63% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.25%EV -5.10% E -1.42% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 04:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.42I 18.45% NM 18.18%EV -0.137% E -0.025% K -0.031% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.68%EV -2.27% E -1.28% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53% NM 26.14%EV -0.623% E -0.165% K -0.225% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-25 12:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.30I 18.87% NM 18.17%EV -2.35% E -0.443% K -0.546% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.66%EV -4.48% E -2.59% K -6.13% G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17% NM 26.17%EV -3.00% E -0.814% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.35%EV -2.35% E -0.443% K -0.546% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.11%EV -11.10% E -6.90% K -18.20% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.54%EV -5.10% E -1.42% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06I 19.76% NM 18.54%EV -6.77% E -1.34% K -1.67% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.18%EV -6.13% E -3.61% K -8.76% G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01% NM 26.28%EV -5.89% E -1.65% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.64%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.16%EV -8.34% E -5.03% K -12.64% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.20%EV -2.47% E -0.667% K -0.914% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.62%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.77%EV -6.13% E -3.61% K -8.76% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.60%EV -7.74% E -2.21% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.62%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.77%EV -6.13% E -3.61% K -8.76% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.60%EV -7.74% E -2.21% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 12:39 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.58%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.62%EV -7.79% E -4.67% K -11.63% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.80%EV -5.10% E -1.42% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.45%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.92%EV -8.90% E -5.39% K -13.68% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.63%EV -5.10% E -1.42% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.30%EV -7.88% E -1.58% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.79%EV -7.79% E -4.67% K -11.63% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.91%EV -10.38% E -3.05% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 04:27 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.76%EV -12.48% E -2.63% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 55.02%EV -10.55% E -6.51% K -17.02% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.22%EV -10.38% E -3.05% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-25 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.53%EV -13.40% E -2.85% K -3.62% G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 54.62%EV -7.24% E -4.31% K -10.65% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.85%EV -6.42% E -1.81% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28% NM 18.71%EV -13.40% E -2.85% K -3.62% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.63%EV -11.10% E -6.90% K -18.20% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.65%EV -13.01% E -3.94% K -5.66% G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51% NM 18.85%EV -14.32% E -3.08% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.43%EV -11.10% E -6.90% K -18.20% G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49% NM 26.72%EV -13.54% E -4.13% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-25 04:27 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74% NM 18.37%EV -15.25% E -3.31% K -4.23% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 55.23%EV -15.52% E -10.14% K -29.28% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 26.41%EV -15.65% E -4.89% K -7.11% G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-06-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22% NM 19.12%EV -17.09% E -3.80% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 53.12%EV -10.55% E -6.51% K -17.02% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.76%EV -18.28% E -5.90% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.03%EV -22.62% E -5.38% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 53.25%EV -12.76% E -8.08% K -22.00% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 26.71%EV -16.97% E -5.39% K -7.89% G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Genoa (Local) | Napoli (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41% | 1.65I 60.61% | 3.35I 29.85% | 10.9% | 2026-06-24 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.01I 99.01% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.01I 99.01% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.01I 99.01% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 17:30 |