La scuola delle quote

Genoa v Napoli

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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19 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Genoa (Casa)

Previsione 18.42%5.43quota equa
EV +1.34%
Vantaggio +0.243%
Kelly +0.297%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.18%18.22%18.46%20.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.965.005.5023.81%20.17%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Napoli (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.22%1.81quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.12%55.44%55.22%57.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.661.671.7765.36%60.36%59.88%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.36%3.79quota equa
EV -0.623%
Vantaggio -0.165%
Kelly -0.225%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.20%26.34%26.32%27.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.553.7732.26%28.74%28.17%26.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +1.34%E +0.243%K +0.297%G +0.004%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 11:10
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.34%E +0.243%K +0.297%G +0.004%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 04:59
1xBet5.42I 18.45%NM 18.18%EV -0.137%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.68%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.14%EV -0.623%E -0.165%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.5%2026-06-25 12:53
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -2.35%E -0.443%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.66%EV -4.48%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.17%EV -3.00%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 23:59
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.35%E -0.443%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 11:10
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.54%EV -6.77%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.28%EV -5.89%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 15:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.34%E -5.03%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.667%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 11:10
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:10
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 12:39
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 11:10
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 11:09
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-25 04:27
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.48%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.55%E -6.51%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-25 04:45
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 04:25
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-25 04:25
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -14.32%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.43%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -13.54%E -4.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-25 04:27
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.37%EV -15.25%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.23%EV -15.52%E -10.14%K -29.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-22 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -17.09%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -10.55%E -6.51%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -18.28%E -5.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-19 11:10
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.03%EV -22.62%E -5.38%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 53.25%EV -12.76%E -8.08%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -16.97%E -5.39%K -7.89%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-25 04:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%10.9%2026-06-24 08:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-06-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-06-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-06-25 17:30