语言:简体中文
Genoa v Napoli
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Genoa (主队)
预测 18.42%5.43公平赔率
EV +1.34%
优势 +0.243%
Kelly +0.297%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.18%18.22%18.46%20.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.965.005.5023.81%20.17%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
Napoli (客队)
预测 55.22%1.81公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.95%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.77
博彩公司预测分布
53.12%55.44%55.22%57.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.661.671.7765.36%60.36%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.36%3.79公平赔率
EV -0.623%
优势 -0.165%
Kelly -0.225%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.77
博彩公司预测分布
25.20%26.34%26.32%27.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.483.553.7732.26%28.74%28.17%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Genoa (主队)：18.42%；Napoli (客队)：55.22%；平局：26.36%。 对于“Genoa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.43。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+1.34%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +1.34%E +0.243%K +0.297%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.14%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.34%E +0.243%K +0.297%G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 04:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.42I 18.45%NM 18.18%EV -0.137%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.68%EV -2.27%E -1.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.14%EV -0.623%E -0.165%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-25 12:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -2.35%E -0.443%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.66%EV -4.48%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.17%EV -3.00%E -0.814%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.35%E -0.443%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.11%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.54%EV -6.77%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.28%EV -5.89%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.34%E -5.03%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.667%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.88%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.79%E -4.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 04:27 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.48%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.55%E -6.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-25 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -14.32%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.43%EV -11.10%E -6.90%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -13.54%E -4.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-25 04:27 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.37%EV -15.25%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.23%EV -15.52%E -10.14%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-06-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -17.09%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -10.55%E -6.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -18.28%E -5.90%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.03%EV -22.62%E -5.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.25%EV -12.76%E -8.08%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -16.97%E -5.39%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-06-25 04:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93% | 10.9% | 2026-06-24 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-06-25 17:30 |