The School of Odds

Frosinone v Juventus

2026-08-23 16:30 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Frosinone (Local)

5.1019.61%Min
6.5515.26%Mean
7.0014.29%Median
7.2613.77%Max
13.04%7.667Min
16.56%6.038Max
14.09%7.098Mean
13.94%7.175Median
14.02%7.132IQM
13.98%7.151Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.26 under the IQM model: 14.02%

EV +1.80%Edge +0.248%Kelly +0.288%Growth +0.005%

Option 2: Juventus (Visit)

1.3176.34%Min
1.4469.35%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.5166.23%Max
61.21%1.634Min
65.23%1.533Max
64.16%1.558Mean
64.36%1.554Median
64.26%1.556IQM
64.29%1.555Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.51 under the IQM model: 64.26%

EV -2.96%Edge -1.96%Kelly -5.81%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.8026.32%Min
4.2323.64%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.6021.74%Max
21.25%4.705Min
22.73%4.400Max
21.75%4.598Mean
21.70%4.608Median
21.71%4.605IQM
21.73%4.603Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.60 under the IQM model: 21.71%

EV -0.112%Edge -0.024%Kelly -0.031%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFrosinone (Local) ▼Juventus (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet7.26I 13.77% NM 13.54%EV +1.80% E +0.248% K +0.288% G +0.005%1.51I 66.23% NM 65.09%EV -2.96% E -1.96% K -5.81% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 21.37%EV -0.112% E -0.024% K -0.031% G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-25 13:16
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08% NM 13.56%EV -0.442% E -0.062% K -0.073% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 65.05%EV -4.89% E -3.30% K -10.19% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.39%EV -2.28% E -0.507% K -0.652% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 08:20
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29% NM 13.64%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 63.64%EV -3.61% E -2.40% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.73%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 18:38
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29% NM 13.56%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 64.12%EV -4.89% E -3.30% K -10.19% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.33%EV -7.71% E -1.81% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 02:59
Caesars7.00I 14.29% NM 13.52%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 63.95%EV -4.89% E -3.30% K -10.19% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.53%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 22:46
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29% NM 13.48%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 65.08%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.15% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.45%EV -4.45% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 19:09
SportsBet7.00I 14.29% NM 13.37%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.01%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.62%EV -5.97% E -1.38% K -1.79% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 22:49
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29% NM 13.28%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 64.58%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.14%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:40
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29% NM 13.28%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 64.58%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.14%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 18:39
FanDuel7.00I 14.29% NM 13.23%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.23%EV -8.75% E -6.16% K -20.83% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.54%EV -6.63% E -1.54% K -2.01% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 18:39
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29% NM 13.04%EV -1.84% E -0.264% K -0.307% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.22%EV -10.03% E -7.17% K -25.08% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 18:36
Codere (IT)6.60I 15.15% NM 14.49%EV -7.45% E -1.13% K -1.33% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 63.77%EV -3.61% E -2.40% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.74%EV -4.45% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 22:05
Pinnacle6.56I 15.24% NM 14.26%EV -8.01% E -1.22% K -1.44% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 64.49%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.15% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.25%EV -4.45% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:00
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13% NM 13.73%EV -13.06% E -2.11% K -2.51% G +0.000%1.31I 76.34% NM 64.99%EV -15.82% E -12.07% K -51.02% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.28%EV -13.14% E -3.29% K -4.38% G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-04 17:50
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39% NM 15.06%EV -14.46% E -2.37% K -2.84% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 63.34%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.15% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.61%EV -7.71% E -1.81% K -2.37% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67% NM 15.23%EV -15.87% E -2.64% K -3.17% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 63.02%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.15% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.76%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-26 18:49
DraftKings6.00I 16.67% NM 15.10%EV -15.87% E -2.64% K -3.17% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 63.34%EV -8.10% E -5.67% K -18.85% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.57%EV -8.80% E -2.09% K -2.75% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 05:39
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67% NM 14.74%EV -15.87% E -2.64% K -3.17% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 63.16%EV -10.03% E -7.17% K -25.08% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.11%EV -13.14% E -3.29% K -4.38% G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-25 04:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67% NM 14.38%EV -15.87% E -2.64% K -3.17% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 61.64%EV -10.03% E -7.17% K -25.08% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.97%EV -21.83% E -6.06% K -8.39% G +0.000%15.9%2026-06-25 22:50
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95% NM 15.59%EV -17.27% E -2.93% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 63.01%EV -6.18% E -4.23% K -13.43% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.39%EV -6.63% E -1.54% K -2.01% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-03 16:10
Unibet (FR)5.80I 17.24% NM 15.15%EV -18.67% E -3.22% K -3.89% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 62.32%EV -9.39% E -6.66% K -22.90% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.53%EV -15.31% E -3.93% K -5.28% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-03 16:10
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39% NM 15.29%EV -19.37% E -3.37% K -4.08% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 62.34%EV -9.39% E -6.66% K -22.90% G +0.000%3.93I 25.45% NM 22.37%EV -14.66% E -3.73% K -5.00% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-03 16:09
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61% NM 16.56%EV -28.49% E -5.59% K -6.95% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 61.21%EV -11.32% E -8.20% K -29.78% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.23%EV -17.48% E -4.60% K -6.24% G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-03 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerFrosinone (Local)Juventus (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets7.80I 12.82%1.48I 67.57%4.40I 22.73%3.1%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%1.48I 67.57%4.30I 23.26%3.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%1.48I 67.57%4.30I 23.26%3.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%1.48I 67.57%4.30I 23.26%3.6%2026-07-05 10:20