La escuela de los momios

Frosinone v Juventus

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Predicción 14.36%6.96momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.568%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.09%14.33%14.29%15.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.516.507.2517.54%15.35%15.38%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juventus (Visitante)

Predicción 63.78%1.57momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -5.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.45%63.85%63.75%65.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.451.5272.46%68.55%68.97%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV -0.561%
Ventaja -0.123%
Kelly -0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%21.82%21.96%22.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.274.304.5525.64%23.42%23.26%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +4.12%E +0.568%K +0.659%G +0.027%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.54%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +4.12%E +0.568%K +0.659%G +0.027%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.54%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV +3.40%E +0.472%K +0.548%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:04
1xBet7.16I 13.97%NM 13.73%EV +2.82%E +0.394%K +0.459%G +0.013%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.67%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60%EV -0.561%E -0.123%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-22 00:33
Marathon Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.63%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 00:34
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -6.87%E -4.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 08:50
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 22:46
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:50
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 08:50
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:40
betano_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 08:38
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.06%E -0.454%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Pinnacle6.56I 15.24%NM 14.26%EV -5.79%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS6.56I 15.24%NM 14.26%EV -5.79%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 15:09
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 14:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 08:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.70%E -7.64%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 08:50
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 20:40
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 20:40
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.48%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 00:19
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 00:19
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.16%EV -10.96%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -13.67%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:05
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 07:40
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 05:00
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.40%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 11:15
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.70%E -7.64%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-25 04:50
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -15.27%E -2.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 04:19
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.27%E -2.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -16.71%E -2.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 05:00
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -17.42%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 05:19
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -18.14%E -3.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.15%EV -10.06%E -7.14%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.77%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 04:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 01:59
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%7.4%2026-07-26 03:05