L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Juventus

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 14.36%6.96cote équitable
EV +4.12%
Avantage +0.568%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.09%14.33%14.29%15.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.516.507.2517.54%15.35%15.38%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juventus (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.78%1.57cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.45%63.85%63.75%65.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.461.451.5272.46%68.55%68.97%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.85%4.58cote équitable
EV -0.561%
Avantage -0.123%
Kelly -0.158%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%21.82%21.96%22.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.274.304.5525.64%23.42%23.26%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +4.12%E +0.568%K +0.659%G +0.027%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.54%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +4.12%E +0.568%K +0.659%G +0.027%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.54%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV +3.40%E +0.472%K +0.548%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:04
1xBet7.16I 13.97%NM 13.73%EV +2.82%E +0.394%K +0.459%G +0.013%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.67%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60%EV -0.561%E -0.123%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-22 00:33
Marathon Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.63%EV -2.75%E -0.617%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 00:34
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -6.87%E -4.71%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 08:50
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 22:46
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:50
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -9.43%E -6.64%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 08:50
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:40
betano_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +0.527%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 08:38
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.06%E -0.454%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Pinnacle6.56I 15.24%NM 14.26%EV -5.79%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS6.56I 15.24%NM 14.26%EV -5.79%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 15:09
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 14:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.15%E -5.66%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 08:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -6.65%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.70%E -7.64%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 08:50
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 20:40
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.05%E -2.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 20:40
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.48%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 00:19
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -8.09%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 00:19
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.16%EV -10.96%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -11.98%E -8.68%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -13.67%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:05
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.24%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 07:40
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 05:00
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.40%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 11:15
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.83%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.70%E -7.64%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-25 04:50
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -15.27%E -2.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.84%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 04:19
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.27%E -2.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -16.71%E -2.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.79%E -6.15%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 05:00
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -17.42%E -3.03%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -5.60%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 01:08
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.37%EV -18.14%E -3.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.15%EV -10.06%E -7.14%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.77%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 04:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-07-26 01:59
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%7.4%2026-07-26 03:05