默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina v Atalanta BC

开赛时间: 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina (主队)

预测 31.85%3.14公平赔率
EV +0.312%
优势 +0.099%
Kelly +0.145%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.35%31.82%31.88%33.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atalanta BC (客队)

预测 41.38%2.42公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.995%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
39.08%41.38%41.36%42.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.44%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.78%3.73公平赔率
EV +0.414%
优势 +0.110%
Kelly +0.151%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.19%26.80%26.76%28.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.51%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fiorentina (主队):31.85%;Atalanta BC (客队):41.38%;平局:26.78%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+0.414%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:46
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-18 08:30
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.85%EV -1.60%E -0.517%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.70%EV -2.35%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.45%EV -0.389%E -0.105%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-18 08:44
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.924%E -0.250%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.53%E -0.695%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:59
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 08:30
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:20
BetAnything🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:55
GTbets🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.84%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -4.14%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:24
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 09:40
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.28%E -0.413%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:34
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:39
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:30
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:35
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 10:13
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.26%EV -5.42%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.82%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:30
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:40
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 08:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:56
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 10:38
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 08:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 08:39
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.21%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -10.62%E -4.92%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -13.11%E -6.24%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 09:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 11:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-05-18 09:41
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%6.3%2026-05-18 10:55