L’École des cotes

Fiorentina v Atalanta BC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fiorentina (Local)

Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV +0.312%
Avantage +0.099%
Kelly +0.145%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.35%31.82%31.88%33.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atalanta BC (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.38%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.08%41.38%41.36%42.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.44%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.414%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.151%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.80%26.76%28.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.51%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:46
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-18 08:30
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 31.85%EV -1.60%E -0.517%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.70%EV -2.35%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.45%EV -0.389%E -0.105%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-18 08:44
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.924%E -0.250%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:30
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.53%E -0.695%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 08:30
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:15
LowVig.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:20
BetAnything2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:55
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.84%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -4.14%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:24
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 09:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.28%E -0.413%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:34
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:39
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 10:13
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 09:35
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 09:40
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.26%EV -5.42%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.82%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:40
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 08:24
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:56
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:55
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 10:38
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 08:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 08:39
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.21%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 09:35
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -10.62%E -4.92%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 09:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 08:25
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -13.11%E -6.24%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 09:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-05-18 09:41
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%6.3%2026-05-18 10:55