La scuola delle quote

Fiorentina v Atalanta BC

Inizio: 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fiorentina (Casa)

Previsione 31.85%3.14quota equa
EV +0.312%
Vantaggio +0.099%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.35%31.82%31.88%33.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atalanta BC (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.38%2.42quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.995%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.08%41.38%41.36%42.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.44%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.78%3.73quota equa
EV +0.414%
Vantaggio +0.110%
Kelly +0.151%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.19%26.80%26.76%28.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.503.7532.26%28.51%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:50
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%EV +0.312%E +0.099%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-18 09:46
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV +0.414%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001%5.9%2026-05-18 08:30
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 31.85%EV -1.60%E -0.517%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.70%EV -2.35%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.45%EV -0.389%E -0.105%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-18 08:44
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.924%E -0.250%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:30
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.68%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.53%E -0.695%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 10:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 08:30
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:15
LowVig.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:20
BetAnything2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:55
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.84%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.57%EV -5.24%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -4.14%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:24
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 08:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 09:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:39
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.28%E -0.413%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:34
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:39
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:34
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 10:13
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 09:35
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 09:40
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.26%EV -5.42%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.82%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:35
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.80%E -4.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 09:40
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 08:24
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:15
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:56
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:55
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 10:38
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 08:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 08:39
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.21%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 09:35
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -10.62%E -4.92%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 09:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 08:25
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -11.45%E -5.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -10.30%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 09:50
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -13.11%E -6.24%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 09:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-05-18 09:41
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 32.28%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%5.3%2026-05-18 10:55
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%6.3%2026-05-18 10:55