The School of Odds

Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-24 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bologna (Local)

Prediction 44.07%2.27fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.10%44.06%44.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.102.2251%47%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lazio (Visit)

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.222%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.72%26.75%27.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.273.473.503.7231%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.13%29.18%29.19%29.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.3833%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.37%EV -2.17%E -0.977%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%EV -0.603%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV -1.26%E -0.373%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-24 08:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 13:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.37%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.74%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 08:25
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.21%E -0.603%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.21%E -0.603%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 05:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:19
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.14%E -2.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.81%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 04:34
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.14%E -2.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.81%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.14%E -0.307%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 14:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 02:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 02:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 12:24
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 12:23
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 02:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 04:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 12:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 10:40
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 08:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.46%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.44%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 01:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.49%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 07:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 07:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-10 02:15
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.27%EV -12.75%E -6.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.80%EV -12.63%E -3.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%EV -11.49%E -3.79%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.75%E -6.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 05:45
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.75%E -6.44%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-07-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%7.3%2026-07-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%7.3%2026-07-25 16:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%11.1%2026-07-20 16:15