The School of Odds

Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-24 16:30 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Bologna (Local)

Odds
1.8753.48%Min
2.0449.01%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1346.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.05%2.270Min
46.28%2.161Max
45.48%2.199Mean
45.51%2.197Median
45.50%2.198IQM
45.58%2.194Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.13 under the IQM model: 45.50%

EV -3.09%Edge -1.45%Kelly -2.73%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Lazio (Visit)

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.5428.27%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8326.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.47%3.926Min
27.28%3.665Max
25.94%3.855Mean
25.96%3.852Median
25.95%3.853IQM
25.89%3.863Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.83 under the IQM model: 25.95%

EV -0.607%Edge -0.158%Kelly -0.214%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.2231.04%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.5228.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.92%3.582Min
29.62%3.376Max
28.58%3.499Mean
28.54%3.504Median
28.55%3.502IQM
28.54%3.504Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.52 under the IQM model: 28.55%

EV +0.500%Edge +0.142%Kelly +0.199%Growth +0.001%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBologna (Local)Lazio (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.13I 46.95% NM 46.27%EV -3.09% E -1.45% K -2.73% G +0.000%3.83I 26.11% NM 25.73%EV -0.607% E -0.158% K -0.214% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 28.00%EV +0.500% E +0.142% K +0.199% G +0.001%1.5%2026-07-03 21:44
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08% NM 46.28%EV -5.37% E -2.58% K -4.97% G +0.000%3.74I 26.74% NM 25.74%EV -2.94% E -0.787% K -1.07% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.98%EV -1.78% E -0.519% K -0.731% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-03 21:44
SportsBet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.37%EV -4.46% E -2.12% K -4.05% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.75%EV -3.98% E -1.08% K -1.47% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.87%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 19:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -4.46% E -2.12% K -4.05% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 19:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -4.46% E -2.12% K -4.05% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 19:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -4.46% E -2.12% K -4.05% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.97%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.47%EV -3.98% E -1.08% K -1.47% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.56%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 17:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78% NM 45.97%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.47%EV -3.98% E -1.08% K -1.47% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.56%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:46
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78% NM 45.88%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.67I 27.25% NM 25.63%EV -4.76% E -1.30% K -1.78% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.50%EV -5.78% E -1.75% K -2.51% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 15:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -7.21% E -2.22% K -3.20% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 19:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -7.21% E -2.22% K -3.20% G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 04:48
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 44.77%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.99%EV -11.77% E -3.46% K -4.90% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -7.21% E -2.22% K -3.20% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-03 08:24
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78% NM 45.25%EV -6.73% E -3.28% K -6.41% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -6.58% E -1.83% K -2.53% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.99%EV -8.64% E -2.70% K -3.93% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-03 19:35
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28% NM 45.81%EV -11.28% E -5.78% K -11.87% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.27%EV -11.77% E -3.46% K -4.90% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.92%EV -8.64% E -2.70% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 04:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08% NM 44.35%EV -5.37% E -2.58% K -4.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.36%EV -9.17% E -2.62% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.29%EV -10.06% E -3.19% K -4.68% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 09:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00% NM 45.15%EV -9.00% E -4.50% K -9.00% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.18%EV -10.47% E -3.03% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.67%EV -10.06% E -3.19% K -4.68% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 07:19
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08% NM 44.15%EV -5.37% E -2.58% K -4.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.23%EV -9.17% E -2.62% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.62%EV -11.49% E -3.71% K -5.47% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 08:25
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02% NM 44.73%EV -10.82% E -5.52% K -11.28% G +0.000%3.33I 30.03% NM 26.33%EV -13.58% E -4.08% K -5.83% G +0.000%3.03I 33.00% NM 28.94%EV -13.49% E -4.45% K -6.65% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-03 19:58
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02% NM 44.50%EV -10.82% E -5.52% K -11.28% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.43%EV -14.36% E -4.35% K -6.24% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.07%EV -14.35% E -4.78% K -7.17% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-03 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48% NM 45.44%EV -14.92% E -7.98% K -17.15% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.75%EV -14.36% E -4.35% K -6.24% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.81%EV -15.77% E -5.35% K -8.09% G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-03 19:44
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08% NM 44.05%EV -12.64% E -6.59% K -13.74% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.28%EV -19.55% E -6.31% K -9.31% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.67%EV -15.77% E -5.35% K -8.09% G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-03 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 43.11%EV -9.00% E -4.50% K -9.00% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.95%EV -16.96% E -5.30% K -7.71% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.94%EV -17.77% E -6.17% K -9.45% G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-28 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerBologna (Local)Lazio (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%3.65I 27.40%3.25I 30.77%5.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%3.65I 27.40%3.25I 30.77%5.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%3.65I 27.40%3.25I 30.77%5.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%3.45I 28.99%3.15I 31.75%11.0%2026-07-03 19:35