La escuela de los momios

Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-24 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bologna (Local)

Predicción 44.08%2.27momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.969%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.10%44.09%44.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.112.102.2250.51%47.35%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lazio (Visitante)

Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.518%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.77%26.77%27.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.483.7230.30%28.85%28.78%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.18%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.574%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.13%29.13%29.14%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.3833.33%31.18%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.37%EV -2.15%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%EV -0.518%E -0.139%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV -1.37%E -0.404%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-24 08:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.80%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -2.24%E -0.669%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:19
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.80%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -2.24%E -0.669%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.37%EV -4.35%E -2.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.66%E -0.730%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 08:25
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.80%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.12%E -0.580%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 05:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:19
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.12%E -2.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.91%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 04:34
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.12%E -2.87%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.91%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 14:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 02:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 02:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 23:08
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 23:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 02:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 04:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 12:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 10:40
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 01:59
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -8.08%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.08%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 05:19
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 07:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 07:50
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.97%E -5.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -10.95%E -3.29%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.12%E -3.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 16:33
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.85%E -5.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-10 02:15
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.73%E -6.43%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 05:45
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.73%E -6.43%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 07:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-07-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.5%2026-07-25 16:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%11.1%2026-07-20 16:15