L’École des cotes

Bologna v Lazio

2026-08-24 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bologna (Local)

Prévision 43.99%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.01%43.95%43.95%44.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.122.132.2250.51%47.09%46.95%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lazio (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -0.622%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.70%26.78%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.503.7230.30%28.79%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.30%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.980%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.412%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.43%29.35%29.27%30.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3833.33%31.49%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.37%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%EV -0.622%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV -0.980%E -0.290%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-24 08:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 13:50
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 13:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.37%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.45%EV -2.76%E -0.758%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 08:25
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.608%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.608%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 20:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 05:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 14:19
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:19
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.30%E -2.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 04:34
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -6.30%E -2.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 14:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 02:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 16:40
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 16:38
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 02:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 16:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 02:15
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 04:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 12:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 10:40
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 16:35
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 01:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.04%EV -10.70%E -5.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.85%EV -11.04%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.06%E -3.28%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 16:39
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 16:41
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-10 02:15
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.90%E -6.52%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 05:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%3.5%2026-07-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%3.5%2026-07-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%3.5%2026-07-26 16:50
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%3.6%2026-07-26 16:25