Language:English
Torino v Carrarese
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Torino (Local)
Prediction 72.46%1.38fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -8.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.44%72.31%72.40%73.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3480.00%77.33%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carrarese (Visit)
Prediction 9.66%10.35fair odd
EV +6.25%
Edge +0.568%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.58%9.71%9.72%11.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.329.5011.0012.50%10.73%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.88%5.59fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.81%17.98%17.88%19.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.105.105.5021.05%19.60%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torino (Local): 72.46%; Carrarese (Visit): 9.66%; Draw: 17.88%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.25%E +0.568%K +0.625%G +0.039% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.15%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 10.81I 9.25%NM 8.87%EV +4.41%E +0.408%K +0.450%G +0.020% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -4.68%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -9.21%E -0.979%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.43%E -0.634%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.65%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -2.35%E -0.431%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -15.48%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.90%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -5.21%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -15.05%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.24% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |