语言:简体中文
Torino v Carrarese
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Torino (主队)
预测 72.46%1.38公平赔率
EV -2.91%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -8.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
69.44%72.31%72.40%73.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.291.301.3480.00%77.33%76.92%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carrarese (客队)
预测 9.66%10.35公平赔率
EV +6.25%
优势 +0.568%
Kelly +0.625%
增长率 +0.039%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.58%9.71%9.72%11.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.329.5011.0012.50%10.73%10.53%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 17.88%5.59公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -0.298%
Kelly -0.364%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
16.81%17.98%17.88%19.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.105.105.5021.05%19.60%19.61%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Torino (主队)：72.46%；Carrarese (客队)：9.66%；平局：17.88%。 对于“Carrarese (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.35。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.00，对应+6.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.25%E +0.568%K +0.625%G +0.039% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.15%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 10.81I 9.25%NM 8.87%EV +4.41%E +0.408%K +0.450%G +0.020% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -4.68%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -9.21%E -0.979%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.43%E -0.634%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.65%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -2.35%E -0.431%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -15.48%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.90%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -5.21%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -15.05%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.24% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |