Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Torino v Carrarese

Inizio: 2026-08-15 19:16 UTC

Finale: Torino 1–0 Carrarese

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Torino (Casa)

Previsione 72.46%1.38quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -2.17%
Kelly -8.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.44%72.31%72.40%73.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.291.301.3480.00%77.33%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Carrarese (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.66%10.35quota equa
EV +6.25%
Vantaggio +0.568%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescita +0.039%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.58%9.71%9.72%11.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.329.5011.0012.50%10.73%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.88%5.59quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.298%
Kelly -0.364%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.81%17.98%17.88%19.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.105.105.5021.05%19.60%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Torino (Casa): 72.46%; Carrarese (Trasferta): 9.66%; Pareggio: 17.88%. Per Carrarese (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.35. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.25%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.25%E +0.568%K +0.625%G +0.039%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.15%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.39%G +0.000%10.81I 9.25%NM 8.87%EV +4.41%E +0.408%K +0.450%G +0.020%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -4.68%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 19:05
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:09
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 19:03
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -3.41%E -0.341%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:34
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:59
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -8.24%E -0.867%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -9.21%E -0.979%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.43%E -0.634%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:34
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -2.91%E -2.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -13.07%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:14
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.45%EV -13.65%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.11%EV -2.35%E -0.431%K -0.527%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -15.48%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.43%E -7.54%K -37.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.90%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 19:09
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.36%E -3.30%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -5.21%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -5.81%E -4.47%K -19.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -22.73%E -2.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -15.05%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 19:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.24%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%0.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.22%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-08-15 19:14