預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sassuolo v Cesena FC

開賽時間: 2026-08-17 16:32 UTC

最終賽果: Sassuolo 3–0 Cesena FC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sassuolo (主隊)

預測 62.47%1.60公平賠率
EV -4.42%
優勢 -2.89%
Kelly -8.34%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.53

博彩公司預測分布
61.29%62.46%62.47%66.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.381.451.451.5372.46%68.87%68.97%65.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Cesena FC (客隊)

預測 16.26%6.15公平賠率
EV +5.69%
優勢 +0.875%
Kelly +1.03%
成長率 +0.059%

假設最高賠率為 6.50

博彩公司預測分布
14.00%16.29%16.21%17.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.305.965.806.5018.87%16.78%17.24%15.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.27%4.70公平賠率
EV +4.21%
優勢 +0.860%
Kelly +1.08%
成長率 +0.045%

假設最高賠率為 4.90

博彩公司預測分布
19.29%21.26%21.32%22.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sassuolo (主隊):62.47%;Cesena FC (客隊):16.26%;和局:21.27%。 對於「Cesena FC (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.15的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.50,對應+5.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045%5.7%2026-08-17 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045%5.7%2026-08-17 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045%5.7%2026-08-17 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045%5.7%2026-08-17 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045%5.7%2026-08-17 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -10.04%E -6.97%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -11.91%E -8.45%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.42%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.35%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +1.02%E +0.215%K +0.273%G +0.003%9.1%2026-08-17 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-17 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-17 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.92%E -4.64%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.69%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 16:29
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.21%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -7.70%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:29
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.54%E -5.10%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.32%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 16:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 16:28
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-17 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.82%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 16:29
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-08-17 16:30