Langue:Français
Sassuolo v Cesena FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sassuolo (Local)
Prévision 62.47%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -8.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.29%62.46%62.47%66.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.451.5372.46%68.87%68.97%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cesena FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.26%6.15cote équitable
EV +5.69%
Avantage +0.875%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.00%16.29%16.21%17.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.965.806.5018.87%16.78%17.24%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.29%21.26%21.32%22.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sassuolo (Local) : 62.47% ; Cesena FC (Visiteur) : 16.26% ; Match nul : 21.27%. Pour Cesena FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.15. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.69%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -10.04%E -6.97%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -11.91%E -8.45%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.42%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.35%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +1.02%E +0.215%K +0.273%G +0.003% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.92%E -4.64%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.69%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.21%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -7.70%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.54%E -5.10%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.32%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 16:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.82%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |