语言:简体中文
Sassuolo v Cesena FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sassuolo (主队)
预测 62.47%1.60公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -2.89%
Kelly -8.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
61.29%62.46%62.47%66.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.451.451.5372.46%68.87%68.97%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cesena FC (客队)
预测 16.26%6.15公平赔率
EV +5.69%
优势 +0.875%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.00%16.29%16.21%17.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.305.965.806.5018.87%16.78%17.24%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.27%4.70公平赔率
EV +4.21%
优势 +0.860%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.045%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.29%21.26%21.32%22.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sassuolo (主队)：62.47%；Cesena FC (客队)：16.26%；平局：21.27%。 对于“Cesena FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.15。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+5.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -10.66%E -7.46%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV +4.21%E +0.860%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -10.04%E -6.97%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -11.91%E -8.45%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.42%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +5.69%E +0.875%K +1.03%G +0.059% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.35%EV +1.46%E +0.234%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -0.814%E -0.133%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +1.02%E +0.215%K +0.273%G +0.003% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -13.79%E -9.99%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -2.44%E -0.407%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -6.92%E -4.64%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.69%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.21%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -7.70%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.54%E -5.10%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.17%E -0.471%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.32%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 16:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.29%E -4.19%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.96%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.57%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -9.42%E -6.49%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.82%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.30%E -0.954%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-08-17 16:30 |