默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Parma v Catania FC

2026-08-14 16:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Parma (主队)

预测 71.28%1.40公平赔率
EV -5.90%
优势 -4.47%
Kelly -18.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布
70.24%71.27%71.49%72.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.301.301.3278.74%76.94%76.92%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Catania FC (客队)

预测 10.47%9.55公平赔率
EV +15.14%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.51%
增长率 +0.229%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.58%10.50%10.37%12.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.768.5011.0013.33%11.42%11.76%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.25%5.48公平赔率
EV +0.366%
优势 +0.066%
Kelly +0.081%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.01%18.23%18.15%19.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.165.205.5021.05%19.40%19.23%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Parma (主队):71.28%;Catania FC (客队):10.47%;平局:18.25%。 对于“Catania FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.55。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为11.00,由此产生+15.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +15.14%E +1.38%K +1.51%G +0.229%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 13:53
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -9.47%E -7.46%K -35.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -0.558%E -0.059%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 13:54
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.86%EV -1.08%E -0.114%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-13 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.57%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.27%EV -3.70%E -0.402%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.20%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 13:54
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.82%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.82%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 10.80%EV -7.99%E -0.909%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.29%EV +0.183%E +0.033%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:14
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:54
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 13:55
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -16.26%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.76%E -6.84%K -31.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.26%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.42%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-13 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.42%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-13 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.34%EV -8.76%E -6.84%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-13 13:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%3.0%2026-08-13 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%3.0%2026-08-13 19:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%3.0%2026-08-13 19:35

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