语言:简体中文
Parma v Catania FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Parma (主队)
预测 67.27%1.49公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -8.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.43
博彩公司预测分布
66.30%67.26%67.43%69.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.371.381.4375.19%72.95%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
Catania FC (客队)
预测 11.77%8.50公平赔率
EV +5.92%
优势 +0.658%
Kelly +0.741%
增长率 +0.044%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
10.44%11.72%11.72%12.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.978.009.0014.29%12.55%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.96%4.77公平赔率
EV +0.589%
优势 +0.123%
Kelly +0.155%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
19.66%21.02%20.84%22.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.28%22.22%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Parma (主队)：67.27%；Catania FC (客队)：11.77%；平局：20.96%。 对于“Catania FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.50。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+5.92%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +5.92%E +0.658%K +0.741%G +0.044% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.03%EV -3.80%E -2.66%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -0.077%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.57%EV -5.14%E -0.638%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -6.12%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.459%E -0.097%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -8.20%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -8.79%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.85%E -7.35%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |