Idioma:Español
Parma v Catania FC
Resultado del partido
Parma (Local)
Predicción 71.28%1.40momio equitativo
EV -5.90%
Ventaja -4.47%
Kelly -18.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.24%71.27%71.49%72.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.301.301.3278.74%76.94%76.92%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Catania FC (Visitante)
Predicción 10.47%9.55momio equitativo
EV +15.14%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.229%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.58%10.50%10.37%12.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.508.768.5011.0013.33%11.42%11.76%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.25%5.48momio equitativo
EV +0.366%
Ventaja +0.066%
Kelly +0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.01%18.23%18.15%19.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.165.205.5021.05%19.40%19.23%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Parma (Local): 71.28%; Catania FC (Visitante): 10.47%; Empate: 18.25%. Para Catania FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 9.55. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 11.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +15.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +15.14%E +1.38%K +1.51%G +0.229% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 20:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 13:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -9.47%E -7.46%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -0.558%E -0.059%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.22%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.86%EV -1.08%E -0.114%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.57%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.27%EV -3.70%E -0.402%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.20%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.82%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.82%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -5.79%E -0.644%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.79I 11.38%NM 10.80%EV -7.99%E -0.909%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.29%EV +0.183%E +0.033%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +0.366%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.03%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.41%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -16.26%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.76%E -6.84%K -31.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.26%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.42%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.42%EV -8.04%E -6.24%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.34%EV -8.76%E -6.84%K -31.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -21.49%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 19:35 |
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