Lingua:Italiano
Parma v Catania FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Parma (Casa)
Previsione 67.27%1.49quota equa
EV -3.80%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -8.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.30%67.26%67.43%69.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.381.4375.19%72.95%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Catania FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.77%8.50quota equa
EV +5.92%
Vantaggio +0.658%
Kelly +0.741%
Crescita +0.044%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.44%11.72%11.72%12.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.978.009.0014.29%12.55%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 20.96%4.77quota equa
EV +0.589%
Vantaggio +0.123%
Kelly +0.155%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%21.02%20.84%22.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.28%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Parma (Casa): 67.27%; Catania FC (Trasferta): 11.77%; Pareggio: 20.96%. Per Catania FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.50. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.92%.
Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +5.92%E +0.658%K +0.741%G +0.044% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.69%EV +0.040%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.03%EV -3.80%E -2.66%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -0.077%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.57%EV -5.14%E -0.638%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -6.12%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV +0.589%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -0.459%E -0.097%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.84%E -0.731%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -8.20%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -8.79%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.82%E -4.15%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.51%E -6.25%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -11.73%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.85%E -7.35%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |