Language:English
Lazio v Inter Milan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lazio (Local)
Prediction 16.85%5.93fair odd
EV +9.55%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.166%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.78%16.84%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.595.606.5020.00%17.90%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Inter Milan (Visit)
Prediction 58.01%1.72fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.12%58.14%58.01%60.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6666.67%62.65%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%25.07%25.15%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lazio (Local): 16.85%; Inter Milan (Visit): 58.01%; Draw: 25.13%. For Lazio (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.55%E +1.47%K +1.74%G +0.166% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.48%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.36%EV +6.52%E +1.03%K +1.23%G +0.080% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.17%EV -4.86%E -2.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.47%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +4.50%E +0.726%K +0.865%G +0.039% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.37%EV -0.221%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.39%EV -3.70%E -2.23%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -9.50%E -6.09%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -10.08%E -6.51%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.24%E -7.35%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -12.98%E -8.66%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -14.04%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.538%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.719%E -0.182%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |