L’École des cotesLazio v Inter Milan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lazio (Local)
Prévision 16.85%5.93cote équitable
EV +9.55%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.166%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%16.78%16.84%18.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.595.606.5020.00%17.90%17.86%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Inter Milan (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.01%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -5.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.12%58.14%58.01%60.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.6666.67%62.65%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.538%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%25.07%25.15%26.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.55%E +1.47%K +1.74%G +0.166% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.48%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.36%EV +6.52%E +1.03%K +1.23%G +0.080% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.17%EV -4.86%E -2.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.47%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +4.50%E +0.726%K +0.865%G +0.039% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.37%EV -0.221%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.39%EV -3.70%E -2.23%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -9.50%E -6.09%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -10.08%E -6.51%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.24%E -7.35%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -12.98%E -8.66%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -14.04%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.538%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.719%E -0.182%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |