La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Lazio v Inter Milan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Lazio (Casa)
Previsione 16.85%5.93quota equa
EV +9.55%
Vantaggio +1.47%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.166%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.70%16.78%16.84%18.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.595.606.5020.00%17.90%17.86%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Inter Milan (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.01%1.72quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.12%58.14%58.01%60.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.601.6666.67%62.65%62.50%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.13%3.98quota equa
EV +0.538%
Vantaggio +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.34%25.07%25.15%26.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.55%E +1.47%K +1.74%G +0.166% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.48%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.36%EV +6.52%E +1.03%K +1.23%G +0.080% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.17%EV -4.86%E -2.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.47%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +4.50%E +0.726%K +0.865%G +0.039% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.37%EV -0.221%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.39%EV -3.70%E -2.23%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -3.48%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -9.50%E -6.09%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -10.08%E -6.51%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.24%E -7.35%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -12.98%E -8.66%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -4.28%E -2.60%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 18:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -14.04%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.538%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.719%E -0.182%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-13 19:01 |