Language:English
Inter Milan v Como
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Inter Milan (Local)
Prediction 47.65%2.10fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.66%47.62%49.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.922.0355.56%51.95%51.95%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Como (Visit)
Prediction 25.01%4.00fair odd
EV +5.06%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%25.02%24.97%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.17%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.34%3.66fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.672%
Kelly +0.916%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%27.31%27.41%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.31%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Milan (Local): 47.65%; Como (Visit): 25.01%; Draw: 27.34%. For Como (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -9.94%E -5.26%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.97%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.10%EV +0.553%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.80%EV -7.87%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -13.28%E -7.30%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -14.23%E -7.91%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.27%E -1.61%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -1.70%E -0.432%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV +2.52%E +0.672%K +0.916%G +0.023% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.80%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -17.98%E -5.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |