La scuola delle quote

Inter Milan v Como

Inizio: 2026-04-21 19:04 UTC

Finale: Inter Milan 3–2 Como

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Inter Milan (Casa)

Previsione 47.65%2.10quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.57%47.66%47.62%49.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.931.922.0355.56%51.95%51.95%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Como (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV +5.06%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescita +0.080%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.74%25.02%24.97%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.17%25.97%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.34%3.66quota equa
EV +2.52%
Vantaggio +0.672%
Kelly +0.916%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.94%27.31%27.41%28.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.31%29.41%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 19:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -9.94%E -5.26%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:00
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.97%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.10%EV +0.553%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.80%EV -7.87%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 19:00
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -13.28%E -7.30%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 19:00
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -14.23%E -7.91%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.27%E -1.61%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -1.70%E -0.432%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:00
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 19:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV +2.52%E +0.672%K +0.916%G +0.023%6.9%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:01
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.80%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -17.98%E -5.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-21 19:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-21 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-21 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-21 19:01