L’École des cotes

Inter Milan v Como

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 19:04 UTC

Score final : Inter Milan 3–2 Como

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Inter Milan (Local)

Prévision 47.65%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.57%47.66%47.62%49.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.922.0355.56%51.95%51.95%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Como (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV +5.06%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.74%25.02%24.97%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.17%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.34%3.66cote équitable
EV +2.52%
Avantage +0.672%
Kelly +0.916%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%27.31%27.41%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.31%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 19:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +5.06%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.080%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.95%E -0.830%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -9.94%E -5.26%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 19:00
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.55%E +0.623%K +0.824%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 19:00
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.97%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.10%EV +0.553%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.80%EV -7.87%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV +0.052%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 19:00
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -13.28%E -7.30%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 19:00
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -14.23%E -7.91%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -1.20%E -0.303%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.27%E -1.61%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -1.70%E -0.432%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -2.45%E -0.628%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:00
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 19:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV +2.52%E +0.672%K +0.916%G +0.023%6.9%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.20%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -1.58%E -0.439%K -0.608%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 19:01
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.80%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -17.98%E -5.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-21 19:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-21 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-21 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-21 19:01