Idioma:Português
Fiorentina v Benevento
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Fiorentina (Local)
Previsão 73.26%1.37odd justa
EV -4.76%
Vantagem -3.67%
Kelly -15.88%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.36%73.24%73.41%76.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.261.251.3082.64%79.63%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Benevento (Visitante)
Previsão 9.29%10.76odd justa
EV +6.84%
Vantagem +0.595%
Kelly +0.652%
Crescimento +0.045%
pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.25%9.27%9.19%11.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.0010.3310.0011.5012.50%9.68%10.00%8.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 17.45%5.73odd justa
EV +4.71%
Vantagem +0.785%
Kelly +0.942%
Crescimento +0.044%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.47%17.48%17.40%19.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.445.506.0021.05%18.40%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fiorentina (Local): 73.26%; Benevento (Visitante): 9.29%; Empate: 17.45%. Para Benevento (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.76. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.84%.
Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV +1.22%E +0.210%K +0.254%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.02I 9.07%NM 8.70%EV +2.39%E +0.216%K +0.238%G +0.006% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.95%EV -1.23%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.57%EV -11.36%E -9.39%K -54.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV -8.95%E -0.913%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -2.27%E -0.406%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.38%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -25.67%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -14.49%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |