Idioma:Español
Fiorentina v Benevento
Resultado del partido
Fiorentina (Local)
Predicción 74.51%1.34momio equitativo
EV -5.37%
Ventaja -4.23%
Kelly -19.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.29%74.51%74.58%76.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.241.241.2782.64%80.79%80.65%78.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Benevento (Visitante)
Predicción 8.46%11.82momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.136%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.68%8.45%8.46%10.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
9.0011.0011.0012.0011.11%9.09%9.09%8.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.03%5.87momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.361%
Kelly +0.433%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.72%17.04%16.97%18.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.555.506.0020.00%18.03%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Fiorentina (Local): 74.51%; Benevento (Visitante): 8.46%; Empate: 17.03%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.87. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.73%E -0.237%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.73%E -0.237%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.73%E -0.237%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.73%E -0.237%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.73%E -0.237%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +2.16%E +0.361%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.19%EV -3.15%E -0.275%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -1.24%E -0.214%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.09%E -0.364%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.09%E -0.364%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.12%EV -7.60%E -6.13%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 11.10I 9.01%NM 8.39%EV -6.11%E -0.551%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.49%EV -3.80%E -0.672%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.50%EV -5.37%E -4.23%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV -4.65%E -0.830%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -11.19%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -4.65%E -0.830%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.84%E -8.13%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.19%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.65%E -0.830%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.84%E -8.13%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -11.19%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.65%E -0.830%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.79%EV -9.84%E -8.13%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -15.42%E -1.54%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -4.65%E -0.830%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -5.37%E -4.23%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +1.50%E +0.125%K +0.136%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -11.19%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +1.50%E +0.125%K +0.136%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +1.50%E +0.125%K +0.136%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 09:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 09:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -8.35%E -6.79%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -23.88%E -2.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -8.05%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -9.76%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.42%E -1.54%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.61%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.86%E -2.97%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.86%E -2.97%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.86%E -2.97%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.86%E -2.97%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -9.09%E -7.45%K -41.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -6.96%E -0.633%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -14.86%E -2.97%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.94% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.14% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.94% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.14% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.94% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.14% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
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