Lingua:Italiano
Fiorentina v Benevento
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fiorentina (Casa)
Previsione 73.26%1.37quota equa
EV -4.76%
Vantaggio -3.67%
Kelly -15.88%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.36%73.24%73.41%76.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.261.251.3082.64%79.63%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Benevento (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.29%10.76quota equa
EV +6.84%
Vantaggio +0.595%
Kelly +0.652%
Crescita +0.045%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.25%9.27%9.19%11.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.3310.0011.5012.50%9.68%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 17.45%5.73quota equa
EV +4.71%
Vantaggio +0.785%
Kelly +0.942%
Crescita +0.044%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.47%17.48%17.40%19.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.445.506.0021.05%18.40%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fiorentina (Casa): 73.26%; Benevento (Trasferta): 9.29%; Pareggio: 17.45%. Per Benevento (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.76. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.84%.
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.37%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.37%EV +1.22%E +0.210%K +0.254%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +6.84%E +0.595%K +0.652%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.02I 9.07%NM 8.70%EV +2.39%E +0.216%K +0.238%G +0.006% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.95%EV -1.23%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.71%E +0.785%K +0.942%G +0.044% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.20%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.74%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.57%EV -11.36%E -9.39%K -54.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -7.09%E -0.709%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV -8.95%E -0.913%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -2.27%E -0.406%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -4.76%E -3.67%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -11.74%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.38%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -25.67%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -14.49%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 19:19 |