Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cagliari v Hellas Verona

2026-09-03 19:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cagliari (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.01%49.01%48.95%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.16%53.33%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hellas Verona (Visit)

Prediction 23.36%4.28fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.31%23.39%23.45%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.65%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV -0.527%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.203%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.36%27.59%27.60%28.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.333.6031.25%29.85%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cagliari (Local): 49.01%; Hellas Verona (Visit): 23.36%; Draw: 27.63%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.527%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -0.527%E -0.146%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.92%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 05:44
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.48%EV -5.88%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.50%EV -4.95%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:44
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 06:25
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.01%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -8.44%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.23%EV -5.50%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -13.58%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 05:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 06:25
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 05:45
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 05:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 05:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -10.08%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 05:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45