Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari v Hellas Verona

2026-09-03 19:00 UTC — Coppa Italia

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari (Casa)

Previsione 49.01%2.04quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.01%49.01%48.95%50.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.16%53.33%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hellas Verona (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.36%4.28quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.454%
Kelly -0.595%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.31%23.39%23.45%24.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.65%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.63%3.62quota equa
EV -0.527%
Vantaggio -0.146%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.36%27.59%27.60%28.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.353.333.6031.25%29.85%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cagliari (Casa): 49.01%; Hellas Verona (Trasferta): 23.36%; Pareggio: 27.63%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.62. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.60, con un valore atteso del -0.527%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -0.527%E -0.146%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.92%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 05:44
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.48%EV -5.88%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.50%EV -4.95%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 05:44
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 06:25
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.01%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -8.44%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.23%EV -5.50%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -13.58%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 05:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 05:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 06:25
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.91%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 05:45
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.42%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.90%E -0.454%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.29%E -0.940%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 05:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 05:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 05:44
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -10.08%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 05:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-08-31 05:45