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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Cagliari v Hellas Verona

開賽時間： 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC

最終賽果： Cagliari 1–2 Hellas Verona

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cagliari (主隊)

預測 47.98%2.08公平賠率
EV -2.60%
優勢 -1.28%
Kelly -2.52%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.03

博彩公司預測分布
47.19%48.14%47.85%50.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.821.911.912.0354.95%52.44%52.36%49.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Hellas Verona (客隊)

預測 23.90%4.18公平賠率
EV +0.383%
優勢 +0.091%
Kelly +0.120%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
21.89%23.67%24.06%24.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.653.963.954.2027.40%25.23%25.32%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 28.12%3.56公平賠率
EV +0.380%
優勢 +0.106%
Kelly +0.148%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 3.57

博彩公司預測分布
26.64%28.19%28.09%30.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.313.303.5732.26%30.24%30.30%28.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Cagliari (主隊)：47.98%；Hellas Verona (客隊)：23.90%；和局：28.12%。 對於「Hellas Verona (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.18的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.20，對應+0.383%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -2.48%E -0.609%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV +0.380%E +0.106%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-03 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.40%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -12.76%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -2.60%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.51%EV -2.25%E -0.549%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 18:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.40%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.40%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.383%E +0.091%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.84%E -4.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.18%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.18%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -5.59%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -5.59%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 18:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 18:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.79%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.37%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 18:58
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.18%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.383%E +0.091%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.01%E -0.489%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.36%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.40%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 18:45
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-03 18:50