La scuola delle quote

Atalanta BC v Lazio

Inizio: 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC

Finale: Atalanta BC 1–1 Lazio

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atalanta BC (Casa)

Previsione 53.85%1.86quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.64%53.79%53.85%54.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.36%57.14%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lazio (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.22%4.95quota equa
EV -0.541%
Vantaggio -0.110%
Kelly -0.138%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.60%20.28%20.16%21.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.564.504.9223.81%21.94%22.22%20.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.93%3.86quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.732%
Kelly -0.999%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.05%25.93%25.99%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.573.603.7532.26%28.03%27.78%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:35
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.24%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV -0.541%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 18:49
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.67%EV -0.743%E -0.151%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 18:45
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -5.22%E -2.97%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:44
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.47%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:35
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 18:55
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:49
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.06%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.07%E -6.03%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.10%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.60%E -6.32%K -9.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-04-22 18:55