Idioma:Español
Atalanta BC v Lazio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atalanta BC (Local)
Predicción 53.85%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%53.79%53.85%54.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.36%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lazio (Visitante)
Predicción 20.22%4.95momio equitativo
EV -0.541%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%20.28%20.16%21.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.564.504.9223.81%21.94%22.22%20.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%25.93%25.99%27.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.603.7532.26%28.03%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atalanta BC (Local): 53.85%; Lazio (Visitante): 20.22%; Empate: 25.93%. Para Lazio (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.92, con un valor esperado de -0.541%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.24%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV -0.541%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.67%EV -0.743%E -0.151%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -5.22%E -2.97%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.47%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.06%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.07%E -6.03%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.10%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.60%E -6.32%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-22 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |