L’École des cotes

Atalanta BC v Lazio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC

Score final : Atalanta BC 1–1 Lazio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atalanta BC (Local)

Prévision 53.85%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.64%53.79%53.85%54.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.36%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lazio (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.22%4.95cote équitable
EV -0.541%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.138%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.60%20.28%20.16%21.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.564.504.9223.81%21.94%22.22%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%25.93%25.99%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.603.7532.26%28.03%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 18:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:35
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.24%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV -0.541%E -0.110%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 18:49
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.67%EV -0.743%E -0.151%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 18:45
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.68%E -2.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -5.22%E -2.97%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.99%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -3.27%E -0.875%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.75%E -0.732%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -6.30%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.98%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:44
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.84%E -3.95%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -12.47%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -2.97%E -0.618%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.29%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:35
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 18:55
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:49
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -12.06%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.07%E -6.03%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -15.10%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.60%E -6.32%K -9.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-04-22 18:55