Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Volos FC v Aris Thessaloniki

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 14:00 UTC

Final: Volos FC 1–2 Aris Thessaloniki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Volos FC (Local)

Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%29.58%29.73%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.183.103.5035.09%31.40%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%42.97%42.81%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.2552.08%47.83%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.313%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.45%27.46%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.353.6034.72%30.23%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Volos FC (Local): 29.75%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 42.79%; Draw: 27.46%. For Volos FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:16
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:15
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -15.28%E -7.72%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -0.351%E -0.105%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.77%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 13:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -17.84%E -9.29%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.03%E -0.929%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.15%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.13%E -0.313%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 13:15
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.71%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Suprabets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.59%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:22
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:25
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.19%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 13:15
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 13:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.90%E -7.26%K -11.12%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-13 13:20
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 13:31
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.85%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.10%EV -16.23%E -5.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.33%E -4.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.22%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 13:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:35
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-05-13 13:55