Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Volos FC v Aris Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 14:00 UTC

Score final : Volos FC 1–2 Aris Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Volos FC (Local)

Prévision 29.75%3.36cote équitable
EV +4.11%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.62%29.58%29.73%30.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.183.103.5035.09%31.40%32.26%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.79%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%42.97%42.81%45.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.102.2552.08%47.83%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.313%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%27.45%27.46%29.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.353.6034.72%30.23%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Volos FC (Local) : 29.75% ; Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 42.79% ; Match nul : 27.46%. Pour Volos FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.36. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +4.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:16
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:15
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -15.28%E -7.72%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -0.351%E -0.105%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.77%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 13:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -17.84%E -9.29%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:50
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.03%E -0.929%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.15%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.13%E -0.313%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 13:15
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.71%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Suprabets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.59%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:22
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:25
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.19%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 13:15
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 13:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.90%E -7.26%K -11.12%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-13 13:20
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 13:31
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.85%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.10%EV -16.23%E -5.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.33%E -4.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.22%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 13:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:35
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-05-13 13:55