La escuela de los momios

Volos FC v Aris Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-05-13 14:00 UTC

Final: Volos FC 1–2 Aris Thessaloniki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Volos FC (Local)

Predicción 29.75%3.36momio equitativo
EV +4.11%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%29.58%29.73%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.183.103.5035.09%31.40%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 42.79%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%42.97%42.81%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.092.102.2552.08%47.83%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.46%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.43%27.45%27.46%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.353.6034.72%30.23%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:16
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV +4.11%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.068%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:15
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +2.62%E +0.760%K +1.07%G +0.028%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -13.57%E -6.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 13:50
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -15.28%E -7.72%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV +1.14%E +0.334%K +0.473%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -0.351%E -0.105%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.77%EV -15.70%E -7.97%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 13:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 13:24
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -1.84%E -0.557%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -17.84%E -9.29%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:50
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.03%E -0.929%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.15%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.13%E -0.313%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 13:15
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 13:25
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.71%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Suprabets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.59%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:22
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:25
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.19%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 13:50
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 13:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 13:15
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 13:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 13:15
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 13:20
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -7.79%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.90%E -7.26%K -11.12%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-13 13:20
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 13:31
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 13:15
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:16
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 13:15
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 13:25
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 13:35
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.85%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.10%EV -16.23%E -5.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 13:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -14.33%E -4.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 13:15
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.22%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 13:16
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-13 13:35
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-05-13 13:55
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-05-13 13:55