Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Aris Thessaloniki

Początek: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: PAOK Thessaloniki 2–0 Aris Thessaloniki

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.69%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -4.38%
Przewaga -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.73%61.76%61.66%63.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.89%66.67%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Aris Thessaloniki (Goście)

Prognoza 15.64%6.39kurs godziwy
EV +5.59%
Przewaga +0.828%
Kelly +0.972%
Wzrost +0.054%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.71%15.53%15.61%17.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.815.706.7520.00%17.23%17.54%14.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.67%4.41kurs godziwy
EV -2.31%
Przewaga -0.536%
Kelly -0.698%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.89%22.71%22.73%24.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.974.004.3127.78%25.20%25.00%23.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: PAOK Thessaloniki (Gospodarze): 61.69%; Aris Thessaloniki (Goście): 15.64%; Remis: 22.67%. Dla wyniku Aris Thessaloniki (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.39. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.59%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +5.59%E +0.828%K +0.972%G +0.054%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV +4.80%E +0.717%K +0.843%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:51
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:53
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:51
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.49%EV +1.21%E +0.187%K +0.221%G +0.003%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.99%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.30%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19%EV -2.31%E -0.536%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:51
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.20%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:51
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -9.27%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:51
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 17:52
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.09%EV -13.02%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.28%EV -10.92%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 17:51
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.61%EV -14.25%E -10.25%K -36.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.86%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -17.09%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-13 17:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.79%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -21.79%E -4.36%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -16.14%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 17:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-09-13 17:55