Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Aris Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Score final : PAOK Thessaloniki 2–0 Aris Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 61.69%1.62cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.73%61.76%61.66%63.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.89%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.64%6.39cote équitable
EV +5.59%
Avantage +0.828%
Kelly +0.972%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.71%15.53%15.61%17.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.815.706.7520.00%17.23%17.54%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.67%4.41cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.536%
Kelly -0.698%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.89%22.71%22.73%24.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.974.004.3127.78%25.20%25.00%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PAOK Thessaloniki (Local) : 61.69% ; Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 15.64% ; Match nul : 22.67%. Pour Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.39. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.75, soit une espérance positive de +5.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +5.59%E +0.828%K +0.972%G +0.054%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV +4.80%E +0.717%K +0.843%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:51
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:53
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:51
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.49%EV +1.21%E +0.187%K +0.221%G +0.003%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.99%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.30%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19%EV -2.31%E -0.536%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:51
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.20%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:51
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -9.27%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:51
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 17:52
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.09%EV -13.02%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.28%EV -10.92%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 17:51
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.61%EV -14.25%E -10.25%K -36.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.86%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -17.09%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-13 17:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.79%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -21.79%E -4.36%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -16.14%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-09-13 17:55