Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Aris Thessaloniki

Inizio: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Finale: PAOK Thessaloniki 2–0 Aris Thessaloniki

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Casa)

Previsione 61.69%1.62quota equa
EV -4.38%
Vantaggio -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.73%61.76%61.66%63.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.89%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.64%6.39quota equa
EV +5.59%
Vantaggio +0.828%
Kelly +0.972%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.71%15.53%15.61%17.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.815.706.7520.00%17.23%17.54%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.67%4.41quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -0.536%
Kelly -0.698%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.89%22.71%22.73%24.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.974.004.3127.78%25.20%25.00%23.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: PAOK Thessaloniki (Casa): 61.69%; Aris Thessaloniki (Trasferta): 15.64%; Pareggio: 22.67%. Per Aris Thessaloniki (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.39. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +5.59%E +0.828%K +0.972%G +0.054%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV +4.80%E +0.717%K +0.843%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:51
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:53
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:51
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.68%E +0.258%K +0.305%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.49%EV +1.21%E +0.187%K +0.221%G +0.003%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.99%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.30%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19%EV -2.31%E -0.536%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -10.55%E -7.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -2.23%E -0.357%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:51
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.71%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.20%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:51
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -7.46%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -9.27%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:51
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.06%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.84%E -1.90%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 17:52
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.09%EV -13.02%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -12.40%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.28%EV -10.92%E -2.78%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 17:51
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.97%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.61%EV -14.25%E -10.25%K -36.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.86%EV -15.53%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -17.09%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.34%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -17.88%E -3.41%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-13 17:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -18.66%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.79%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -21.79%E -4.36%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -16.14%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-09-13 17:51
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-09-13 17:55