Language:English
Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -0.375%
Edge -0.101%
Kelly -0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.93%27.06%26.98%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.483.7032.26%28.91%28.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%47.05%47.01%48.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.942.0556.18%51.50%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -0.485%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.89%26.01%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.403.8233.33%29.00%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 26.93%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 47.02%; Draw: 26.05%. For Panathinaikos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.375%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -0.485%E -0.127%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.60%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.79%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.64%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.55%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 07:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -21.85%E -7.28%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -16.30%E -9.16%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.07%E -6.45%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |