La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panathinaikos (Local)
Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -0.375%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.139%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.93%27.06%26.98%28.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.483.7032.26%28.91%28.78%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)
Predicción 47.02%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.96%47.05%47.01%48.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.941.942.0556.18%51.50%51.55%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.127%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%25.89%26.01%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.403.8233.33%29.00%29.41%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -0.485%E -0.127%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.60%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 05:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| 1xBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.79%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.64%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Suprabets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.55%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 07:51 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -21.85%E -7.28%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -16.30%E -9.16%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.07%E -6.45%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |