L’École des cotes

Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

Score final : Panathinaikos 2–2 PAOK Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prévision 26.93%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.375%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%27.06%26.98%28.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.483.7032.26%28.91%28.78%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.02%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.96%47.05%47.01%48.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.942.0556.18%51.50%51.55%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.89%26.01%28.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.403.8233.33%29.00%29.41%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.375%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:50
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:50
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 05:35
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.09%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.93%EV -0.485%E -0.127%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.60%E -1.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 05:30
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:38
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.79%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:38
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -16.64%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -7.83%E -4.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:37
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:50
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 26.55%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.72%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:51
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:50
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:50
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:50
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.77%E -4.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -21.85%E -7.28%K -10.92%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -16.30%E -9.16%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -12.73%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -10.66%E -5.61%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.07%E -6.45%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -10.19%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-17 10:40