Language:English
Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV +0.543%
Edge +0.259%
Kelly +0.494%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%48.06%47.78%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.942.1056.18%51.58%51.55%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.754%
Kelly +0.993%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%24.62%24.83%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.633.604.1631.25%27.58%27.78%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.32%27.39%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.353.5733.33%30.10%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 47.88%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 27.33%. For PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.08%EV +3.14%E +0.754%K +0.993%G +0.031% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.532%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 18:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.19%EV -1.08%E -0.270%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 18:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -9.01%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -2.43%E -0.682%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.01%E -6.00%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.91%E -6.47%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.78%E -8.30%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.46%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV +0.543%E +0.259%K +0.494%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.28%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |