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Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki

2026-09-06 18:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.27%41.08%41.13%41.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.242.3247.62%45.03%44.64%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.60%29.81%29.81%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2035.71%33.03%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.11%29.06%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.03%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Panathinaikos (Local): 41.10%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 29.10%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -3.97%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.33%EV -7.91%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 22:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 21:30
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.40%EV -5.89%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.04%EV -8.20%E -2.66%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.56%EV -8.92%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 21:59
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 21:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.33%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.70%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 21:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 21:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 21:28
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.64%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.64%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -15.06%E -5.28%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -12.47%E -5.85%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.08%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.55%E -5.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-29 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 33.33%1.23I 81.30%NM 33.33%1.23I 81.30%NM 33.33%143.9%2026-08-30 01:05