Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 18:30 UTC

Score final : Panathinaikos 3–1 PAOK Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prévision 47.88%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.543%
Avantage +0.259%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%48.06%47.78%50.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.942.1056.18%51.58%51.55%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +0.754%
Kelly +0.993%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%24.62%24.83%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.633.604.1631.25%27.58%27.78%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.33%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.23%27.32%27.39%28.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.353.5733.33%30.10%29.85%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Panathinaikos (Local) : 47.88% ; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 24.79% ; Match nul : 27.33%. Pour PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.03. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.16, soit une espérance positive de +3.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.08%EV +3.14%E +0.754%K +0.993%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.532%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:19
Suprabets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.19%EV -1.08%E -0.270%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:15
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:15
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -9.01%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -2.43%E -0.682%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:09
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.01%E -6.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.91%E -6.47%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.78%E -8.30%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.46%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV +0.543%E +0.259%K +0.494%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.28%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-09-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-09-06 18:25
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-06 18:25